Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 4.492576 5.348082 6.299430 7.432513 8.741824 10.203674 11.955695
2025-07-27 3.428371 4.576464 5.982038 7.815418 10.127981 12.931070 16.566800
2025-08-03 2.625410 3.863849 5.507641 7.818140 10.945420 14.989641 20.565961
2025-08-10 1.997749 3.210199 4.939438 7.533963 11.264508 16.359610 23.751071
2025-08-17 1.559344 2.715615 4.475564 7.274110 11.516852 17.591263 26.793634
2025-08-24 1.290495 2.416189 4.231805 7.269909 12.091905 19.279623 30.575123
2025-08-31 1.086893 2.177937 4.034913 7.290853 12.677493 21.001898 34.515976
2025-09-07 0.908490 1.945024 3.803287 7.209976 13.070882 22.438532 38.110942
2025-09-14 0.729578 1.672523 3.455269 6.874096 12.990428 23.097834 40.515164
2025-09-21 0.622930 1.519096 3.295981 6.842192 13.407477 24.575480 44.316948
2025-09-28 0.534062 1.383547 3.147389 6.804790 13.799846 26.027955 48.164853
2025-10-05 0.503391 1.369879 3.237301 7.229754 15.065241 29.059969 54.872471
2025-10-12 0.454776 1.307116 3.221014 7.451879 15.990824 31.598978 60.968994
2025-10-19 0.421722 1.275551 3.267057 7.806592 17.204909 34.747366 68.356974
2025-10-26 0.367220 1.177101 3.148891 7.800359 17.706617 36.629120 73.606215
2025-11-02 0.303988 1.039433 2.916682 7.514083 17.609407 37.377522 76.831358
2025-11-09 0.252632 0.921383 2.710064 7.254037 17.532621 38.146376 80.128397
2025-11-16 0.221376 0.854851 2.620091 7.249601 17.993056 39.984667 85.551299
2025-11-23 0.195395 0.797959 2.545268 7.270416 18.507280 41.960651 91.354660
2025-11-30 0.169062 0.732418 2.435486 7.189717 18.783905 43.469523 96.329175
2025-12-07 0.138209 0.641282 2.236702 6.854666 18.441558 43.669481 98.702685
2025-12-14 0.120950 0.594696 2.158499 6.822839 18.803177 45.368962 104.202862
2025-12-21 0.105807 0.551441 2.082265 6.785530 19.146205 47.048415 109.755575